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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.98+3.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.53+3.31vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.11+8.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14-0.24vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+3.11vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.36+3.36vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.62+1.64vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.60-2.73vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.10+0.76vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.80-2.06vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.94-3.01vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.20-0.81vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.80-5.17vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+0.19vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.19-3.90vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.78-3.04vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Brown University1.9815.8%1st Place
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5.31Tufts University1.5312.2%1st Place
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11.05McGill University-0.111.7%1st Place
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3.76Brown University2.1420.7%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University1.165.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont0.363.4%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University0.624.2%1st Place
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5.27Boston College1.6012.4%1st Place
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9.76Boston University0.103.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University0.804.9%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University0.945.0%1st Place
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11.19Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University0.805.1%1st Place
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14.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.200.8%1st Place
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11.1Northeastern University-0.191.9%1st Place
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12.96Bentley University-0.781.4%1st Place
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14.38Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.310.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Gish | 15.8% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Lamm | 20.7% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Marco Welch | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ryan McGauley | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Grant Schmidt | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| cole capizzo | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 31.9% |
| Grant Smith | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Blagden | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.