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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.50+4.42vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.72+6.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+5.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.78vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82-0.37vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.72+5.51vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.82+4.04vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.28-1.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.07-1.89vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.59-4.77vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.58-5.57vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.10vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48+1.44vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+1.11vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.23-5.27vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37-1.75vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University1.720.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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4.63Connecticut College2.820.2%1st Place
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11.51Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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11.04McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.23Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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15.11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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14.25Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.98Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Hal Clews | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Alliana Snead | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 28.6% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 21.8% | 42.3% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 24.0% | 21.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.