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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+3.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+3.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+5.34vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.50+1.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+5.81vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.72+2.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.58-1.72vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.07-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.23+0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.28-3.85vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-5.08vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.72-0.67vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48+0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+0.01vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.16-6.01vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.37-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Connecticut College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.19Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.34Brown University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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11.33Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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11.12McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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15.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.99Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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14.28Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 18.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| James Paul | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Wood | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Stone | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Hal Clews | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Alliana Snead | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 25.1% | 26.4% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 41.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 24.8% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.