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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+3.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+3.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+5.37vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.72+4.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.28+0.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.50-1.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.07-1.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-3.04vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+4.07vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.23-2.30vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.93vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.82-2.86vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-0.62vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37-1.71vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Connecticut College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.37Brown University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University1.720.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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11.3Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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15.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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11.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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11.14McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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14.29Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.98Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 16.7% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matt Hersey | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Walden | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 42.7% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Hal Clews | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Alliana Snead | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 24.6% | 26.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 24.3% | 22.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.