Race 1A

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jeremy McCauley 13.5% 15.3% 23.9% 20.5% 12.6% 9.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 28.6% 29.0% 21.2% 11.7% 6.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.5% 5.1% 7.7% 12.2% 14.6% 16.8% 16.0% 13.4% 7.7% 1.8% 0.2%
David Treatman 1.9% 4.2% 5.4% 6.6% 12.3% 14.5% 17.0% 17.7% 12.2% 7.0% 1.2%
Connor Mraz 38.3% 28.7% 16.5% 10.0% 4.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katie Foley 5.0% 8.9% 9.9% 16.5% 17.2% 16.1% 12.0% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Zak Dasaro 4.7% 4.5% 7.5% 12.6% 15.5% 15.9% 15.8% 12.2% 8.3% 2.4% 0.6%
Tamryn Whyte 0.8% 0.3% 1.4% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 5.9% 7.3% 14.2% 23.1% 41.8%
Tanner Comer 1.5% 2.6% 3.9% 4.3% 8.3% 9.7% 14.7% 19.4% 17.2% 13.4% 5.0%
Richard Chui 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 5.8% 7.6% 10.3% 17.2% 24.1% 27.3%
River Dixon 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 2.5% 3.9% 5.1% 6.6% 10.4% 18.7% 26.6% 23.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.