Race 2A

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jeremy McCauley 12.5% 16.4% 24.0% 18.1% 15.7% 8.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 30.1% 25.5% 22.1% 13.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zak Dasaro 3.7% 4.4% 5.6% 9.8% 14.6% 16.2% 18.0% 15.0% 8.4% 3.7% 0.6%
Tanner Comer 1.3% 1.9% 3.5% 4.5% 7.1% 9.7% 14.9% 17.8% 20.0% 13.6% 5.7%
David Treatman 2.9% 4.2% 6.2% 8.5% 10.7% 16.2% 15.9% 16.6% 10.6% 6.8% 1.4%
Connor Mraz 36.7% 30.6% 16.5% 9.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katie Foley 6.4% 9.2% 10.6% 16.7% 17.4% 15.5% 12.7% 7.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.6% 5.6% 8.3% 13.0% 16.0% 17.6% 14.9% 11.7% 6.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Tamryn Whyte 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 3.4% 3.7% 7.7% 14.3% 21.8% 43.7%
Richard Chui 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 2.5% 3.1% 5.0% 6.7% 11.5% 17.5% 25.8% 25.3%
River Dixon 0.8% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 3.8% 4.4% 8.4% 10.7% 19.6% 25.7% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.