Race 3A

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 36.3% 30.5% 18.6% 9.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 15.8% 17.7% 23.0% 20.8% 12.4% 6.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katie Foley 5.9% 6.1% 12.5% 15.3% 19.2% 18.2% 12.8% 6.5% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Tanner Comer 1.5% 2.1% 3.4% 5.0% 9.2% 11.4% 17.8% 18.2% 14.6% 12.1% 4.7%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.9% 6.0% 8.7% 15.1% 19.3% 16.0% 13.4% 10.3% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Stewart Gurnell 29.4% 30.1% 20.2% 11.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cowen-Breen 1.3% 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 6.1% 11.2% 13.3% 17.3% 18.7% 14.6% 8.8%
David Treatman 3.1% 2.8% 7.3% 10.6% 14.6% 17.3% 17.5% 12.4% 9.6% 3.9% 0.9%
Tamryn Whyte 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 3.8% 5.5% 8.7% 13.3% 21.3% 41.2%
Richard Chui 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 3.2% 3.4% 6.0% 7.7% 13.0% 17.8% 23.1% 22.8%
River Dixon 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 3.6% 4.2% 6.3% 8.5% 12.8% 18.2% 23.1% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.