Race 4A

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jeremy McCauley 14.0% 16.9% 24.0% 20.1% 14.5% 6.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 31.7% 28.1% 19.8% 12.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 36.1% 31.0% 18.7% 9.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.8% 6.0% 8.3% 13.1% 19.8% 17.1% 15.1% 9.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Katie Foley 6.4% 7.1% 12.7% 18.2% 16.9% 16.6% 11.9% 6.1% 3.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Tanner Comer 1.4% 1.9% 4.8% 5.5% 8.7% 13.4% 16.4% 16.7% 16.3% 11.0% 3.9%
David Treatman 3.5% 4.7% 5.7% 9.8% 16.2% 17.0% 16.6% 13.0% 8.4% 4.1% 1.0%
Tamryn Whyte 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 2.9% 3.1% 5.7% 10.9% 14.1% 21.3% 38.3%
William Cowen-Breen 1.1% 2.2% 2.0% 4.2% 5.4% 9.8% 12.7% 18.0% 17.5% 16.9% 10.2%
Richard Chui 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.4% 4.1% 6.3% 9.3% 12.3% 15.5% 22.1% 25.2%
River Dixon 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 3.1% 3.3% 7.1% 8.7% 12.0% 19.6% 22.5% 20.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.