Race 5A

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Connor Mraz 36.4% 30.3% 17.6% 10.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zak Dasaro 4.1% 4.0% 7.1% 12.0% 14.5% 15.3% 17.0% 13.4% 9.0% 3.0% 0.6%
Jeremy McCauley 12.9% 17.0% 21.8% 20.4% 12.5% 9.4% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.9% 5.1% 8.0% 10.4% 15.7% 17.7% 15.5% 13.2% 8.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Stewart Gurnell 30.2% 27.4% 21.7% 11.3% 5.8% 2.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Treatman 1.8% 4.3% 5.3% 7.9% 12.7% 13.4% 18.3% 16.6% 10.7% 7.3% 1.7%
Katie Foley 6.8% 8.1% 12.1% 16.0% 17.0% 16.3% 12.0% 7.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Tanner Comer 2.2% 1.9% 3.3% 4.7% 9.0% 11.8% 13.9% 17.7% 18.4% 12.3% 4.8%
Tamryn Whyte 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 3.4% 4.2% 7.1% 13.7% 21.5% 44.5%
Richard Chui 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 2.7% 3.0% 4.6% 6.8% 11.5% 17.0% 26.8% 25.2%
River Dixon 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 2.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.5% 11.8% 19.1% 26.3% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.