← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.98+3.21vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.60+3.08vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.80+5.06vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University0.62+4.50vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.53+0.33vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University-0.20+5.20vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.36+2.36vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.14-4.06vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.80-1.30vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University0.94-2.11vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.10-1.16vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University-0.19-0.75vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.16-4.88vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+0.08vs Predicted
-
15McGill University-0.11-3.88vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-0.78-3.15vs Predicted
-
17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21Brown University1.9817.1%1st Place
-
5.08Boston College1.6012.5%1st Place
-
8.06Tufts University0.804.5%1st Place
-
8.5Roger Williams University0.625.3%1st Place
-
5.33Tufts University1.5311.8%1st Place
-
11.2Harvard University-0.201.8%1st Place
-
9.36University of Vermont0.363.5%1st Place
-
3.94Brown University2.1419.1%1st Place
-
7.7Tufts University0.805.6%1st Place
-
7.89Roger Williams University0.944.5%1st Place
-
9.84Boston University0.102.8%1st Place
-
11.25Northeastern University-0.192.1%1st Place
-
8.12Tufts University1.165.1%1st Place
-
14.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.200.8%1st Place
-
11.12McGill University-0.112.1%1st Place
-
12.85Bentley University-0.781.0%1st Place
-
14.48Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.310.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Gish | 17.1% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Devon Owen | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Marco Welch | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 19.1% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Grant Smith | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| cole capizzo | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 22.9% | 28.3% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Blagden | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 16.3% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.