Race 6A

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jeremy McCauley 13.8% 16.7% 21.5% 20.5% 15.7% 6.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 35.5% 28.6% 22.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zak Dasaro 3.5% 4.1% 6.9% 9.7% 13.5% 16.5% 18.1% 15.4% 8.2% 3.8% 0.3%
David Treatman 2.5% 3.4% 4.4% 8.7% 10.6% 15.3% 17.3% 17.0% 13.1% 6.2% 1.5%
Katie Foley 5.2% 8.8% 10.7% 16.0% 17.2% 16.4% 12.4% 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Tanner Comer 1.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.9% 7.6% 11.8% 14.2% 17.8% 17.9% 14.0% 5.0%
Stewart Gurnell 31.4% 28.3% 20.2% 11.7% 5.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 5.0% 5.1% 8.4% 13.0% 17.5% 17.3% 13.6% 12.0% 6.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Tamryn Whyte 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 4.2% 7.5% 14.1% 21.0% 44.4%
Richard Chui 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 3.2% 3.1% 4.3% 8.4% 10.3% 16.3% 27.0% 25.0%
River Dixon 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 3.6% 5.4% 7.0% 10.7% 19.2% 25.7% 23.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.