Race 7A

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Mraz 41.4% 27.4% 18.1% 8.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 15.6% 16.9% 24.7% 21.2% 13.5% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Tanner Comer 2.0% 2.4% 3.9% 6.3% 10.8% 15.8% 20.1% 18.3% 13.9% 6.5%
Katie Foley 5.0% 7.1% 13.7% 21.4% 21.2% 18.0% 8.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2%
River Dixon 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 3.9% 3.7% 7.3% 10.9% 15.1% 23.7% 31.7%
William Cowen-Breen 1.4% 2.7% 2.1% 4.4% 9.4% 11.6% 15.8% 19.8% 19.3% 13.5%
Stewart Gurnell 28.2% 32.5% 22.4% 11.3% 4.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Chui 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 2.8% 5.2% 7.5% 12.1% 15.6% 20.7% 33.3%
Emily Ringrose 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.9% 7.9% 12.9% 17.2% 19.3% 18.8% 14.4%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.7% 6.9% 9.8% 16.2% 21.0% 19.2% 13.0% 7.2% 2.6% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.