Race 8A

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeremy McCauley 17.2% 18.2% 25.2% 19.5% 11.4% 4.9% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 38.4% 28.6% 20.0% 9.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 4.2% 7.4% 8.6% 14.7% 20.5% 22.8% 12.7% 6.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Tanner Comer 1.4% 1.8% 3.4% 7.6% 11.6% 15.5% 22.3% 16.4% 13.4% 6.6%
River Dixon 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 4.4% 6.1% 7.2% 8.9% 16.0% 23.3% 30.9%
Katie Foley 6.8% 7.7% 12.9% 18.4% 22.3% 17.6% 7.9% 5.0% 1.0% 0.4%
Stewart Gurnell 28.8% 31.3% 23.0% 10.9% 4.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Ringrose 0.6% 2.0% 2.4% 5.4% 7.9% 11.6% 17.0% 20.1% 18.3% 14.7%
Richard Chui 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 3.6% 4.0% 7.8% 11.8% 14.5% 23.3% 32.9%
William Cowen-Breen 0.8% 1.4% 2.6% 6.2% 8.7% 10.8% 16.1% 20.5% 19.0% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.