Race 1B

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Whisner 38.5% 28.3% 15.1% 8.7% 5.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kevin Johnston 6.0% 4.0% 8.5% 9.7% 14.5% 16.6% 15.6% 13.0% 9.0% 3.1%
Bryan Lawrence 12.3% 15.4% 17.7% 16.7% 16.3% 11.1% 7.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Jonathan Gorman 17.9% 19.8% 21.6% 18.1% 11.3% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Liliana Taub 13.7% 17.2% 16.8% 19.0% 14.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
John Mecca 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 9.6% 12.2% 17.8% 16.2% 15.6% 9.4%
Abigail Brooks 3.0% 4.3% 6.1% 9.6% 10.5% 16.7% 16.9% 14.4% 13.8% 4.7%
Damien Hollyday 0.8% 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 3.6% 6.0% 8.1% 12.3% 17.0% 47.1%
Robert Chapman 1.7% 1.6% 2.7% 3.7% 5.3% 7.0% 11.8% 17.1% 24.3% 24.8%
Sophia Rosahl 2.1% 3.9% 4.6% 6.6% 9.3% 11.2% 13.4% 20.8% 17.6% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.