Race 2B

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Whisner 39.7% 27.9% 14.3% 9.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Liliana Taub 13.1% 15.5% 19.7% 15.6% 16.0% 9.4% 6.3% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Bryan Lawrence 13.4% 13.8% 18.2% 16.7% 16.8% 11.5% 6.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Kevin Johnston 3.4% 6.0% 8.9% 11.3% 13.4% 16.1% 16.8% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1%
Jonathan Gorman 18.6% 21.9% 19.2% 17.8% 10.7% 6.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Abigail Brooks 5.0% 5.2% 5.0% 9.4% 11.7% 14.4% 16.9% 14.9% 12.9% 4.6%
John Mecca 2.3% 3.1% 4.8% 7.3% 8.7% 14.2% 16.2% 17.2% 16.8% 9.4%
Damien Hollyday 0.8% 0.7% 2.3% 2.6% 3.1% 6.1% 7.5% 12.5% 17.0% 47.4%
Robert Chapman 1.5% 1.9% 3.0% 3.6% 4.5% 8.7% 12.0% 14.4% 25.4% 25.0%
Sophia Rosahl 2.2% 4.0% 4.6% 6.0% 10.0% 11.4% 13.7% 19.3% 18.6% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.