Race 3B

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nathan Whisner 36.5% 24.9% 17.1% 11.8% 6.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Lawrence 13.0% 14.5% 16.0% 16.1% 11.9% 11.3% 8.0% 5.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Liliana Taub 11.9% 13.3% 15.7% 14.8% 13.7% 13.5% 8.2% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Mateo Navarro Goldaraz 9.1% 10.7% 12.3% 12.7% 14.7% 12.3% 12.7% 9.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Samantha Mislinski 11.6% 12.8% 13.7% 12.5% 13.8% 11.1% 12.2% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Tyler Butler 6.8% 9.3% 9.8% 12.1% 13.2% 14.3% 12.5% 10.3% 6.6% 4.3% 0.8%
John Mecca 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 5.1% 7.2% 9.8% 12.0% 13.9% 18.2% 14.5% 7.4%
Daniel Dickson 2.7% 2.3% 3.2% 4.1% 5.4% 9.0% 10.9% 12.8% 17.0% 19.0% 13.6%
Damien Hollyday 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 2.0% 3.5% 4.2% 7.4% 11.9% 17.8% 47.1%
Robert Chapman 1.0% 3.0% 1.7% 3.7% 3.8% 5.4% 7.4% 10.9% 16.5% 24.7% 21.9%
Sophia Rosahl 2.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 8.0% 7.8% 11.2% 15.7% 16.7% 15.8% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.