Race 5B

princeton-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Whisner 38.7% 27.1% 16.3% 9.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Kevin Johnston 6.0% 5.0% 7.2% 10.3% 14.7% 17.3% 14.9% 12.3% 9.1% 3.2%
Abigail Brooks 3.9% 4.4% 7.0% 8.1% 10.6% 14.4% 17.8% 17.3% 11.3% 5.2%
Liliana Taub 12.7% 16.1% 19.2% 17.4% 15.4% 9.3% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Bryan Lawrence 14.2% 15.9% 15.8% 20.0% 14.3% 10.2% 5.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Jonathan Gorman 17.9% 21.2% 19.9% 16.9% 12.6% 6.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
John Mecca 2.6% 3.2% 4.1% 6.6% 10.0% 12.8% 18.5% 16.5% 16.5% 9.2%
Damien Hollyday 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 3.7% 5.3% 8.1% 11.9% 18.7% 46.3%
Robert Chapman 1.2% 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 5.0% 9.3% 11.0% 16.2% 23.1% 25.5%
Sophia Rosahl 2.1% 3.5% 5.4% 6.4% 8.7% 12.3% 14.2% 18.3% 19.0% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.