Race 6B

princeton-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Whisner 40.1% 26.7% 16.0% 9.0% 4.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Lawrence 13.1% 14.0% 19.5% 18.1% 13.7% 10.4% 7.0% 3.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Jonathan Gorman 17.8% 20.8% 19.4% 15.7% 14.7% 6.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Abigail Brooks 2.7% 5.2% 5.5% 9.3% 13.4% 14.2% 16.8% 15.0% 12.4% 5.5%
Kevin Johnston 5.1% 7.9% 7.6% 10.3% 12.3% 16.8% 16.0% 12.7% 8.1% 3.2%
Liliana Taub 14.5% 15.4% 17.8% 17.8% 15.2% 9.1% 6.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
John Mecca 2.7% 2.6% 4.6% 7.4% 8.4% 14.9% 15.2% 18.1% 17.1% 9.0%
Damien Hollyday 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 8.0% 11.5% 18.5% 46.2%
Robert Chapman 1.4% 2.1% 3.3% 2.9% 4.9% 8.6% 10.9% 16.6% 23.9% 25.4%
Sophia Rosahl 2.0% 4.2% 4.7% 6.7% 9.0% 11.9% 14.2% 18.5% 18.6% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.