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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.68+1.21vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.35+1.91vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.95+3.67vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.01vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.33-1.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90-2.36vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-1.60-1.96vs Predicted
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9Washington College-1.86-2.53vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-2.48-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21William and Mary0.680.4%1st Place
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3.91Princeton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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6.67Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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3.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.61Princeton University-0.330.2%1st Place
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4.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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6.04Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.47Washington College-1.860.0%1st Place
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7.45Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Whisner | 40.9% | 24.8% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 10.2% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 23.9% | 21.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 12.0% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Liliana Taub | 15.7% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Butler | 8.3% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Abigail Brooks | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 11.3% |
| John Mecca | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 18.5% |
| Robert Chapman | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.