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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.36+8.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.98+2.20vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.53+2.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.62+4.58vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.14-1.16vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.11+5.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16+1.08vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.20+3.13vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.60-3.75vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.80-2.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.80-3.16vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.94-4.05vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.19-1.80vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+0.33vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.78-1.89vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-1.97vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.10-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49University of Vermont0.362.7%1st Place
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4.2Brown University1.9817.2%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University1.5311.8%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University0.624.2%1st Place
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3.84Brown University2.1420.6%1st Place
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11.0McGill University-0.111.9%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.164.7%1st Place
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11.13Harvard University-0.202.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College1.6011.3%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University0.804.6%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University0.806.1%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University0.945.5%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University-0.192.4%1st Place
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14.33Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.310.6%1st Place
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13.11Bentley University-0.780.8%1st Place
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14.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.200.9%1st Place
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9.8Boston University0.102.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Welch | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Gish | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Lamm | 20.6% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Ryan McGauley | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Grant Smith | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 21.1% | 34.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| cole capizzo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 30.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.