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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.35+2.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90+2.89vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.68-0.79vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.01vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.33-2.36vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.95-0.43vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-1.60-1.99vs Predicted
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9Washington College-1.86-2.54vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-2.48-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Princeton University-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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2.21William and Mary0.680.4%1st Place
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4.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.64Princeton University-0.330.2%1st Place
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6.57Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.01Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.46Washington College-1.860.0%1st Place
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7.46Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Lawrence | 13.9% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Butler | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Nathan Whisner | 40.1% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 11.8% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Liliana Taub | 15.6% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 20.3% |
| Abigail Brooks | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 10.7% |
| John Mecca | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 19.5% |
| Robert Chapman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.