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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.57+4.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02+4.39vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.51+5.27vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.74-0.91vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.40+5.23vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.18+2.24vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.17-3.07vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.07vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.41-2.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08-1.81vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.04-6.82vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University0.35-5.14vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.22-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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7.39University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University0.510.0%1st Place
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6.14Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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12.23Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.24Yale University0.180.0%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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9.93Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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9.53McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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9.86Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.74Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Palardy | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 21.8% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Wataru Kondo | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Caroline King | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Schneider | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 26.7% |
| Liviu Mosnoi | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Alec Bodenski | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| Megan Gimple | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| John Holt | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| David Perez | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Brian Hayes | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Giles Ruck | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.