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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.57+4.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.74+1.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.51+5.35vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+5.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.17+0.93vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-0.82vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.41+1.35vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08+2.12vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.02-2.59vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.22+0.65vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.04-4.67vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University0.35-3.29vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-4.17vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.18-4.56vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.40-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.2%1st Place
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4.96University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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6.18Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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9.35McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.41University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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11.65Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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9.71Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.83Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.44Yale University0.180.0%1st Place
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12.3Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Palardy | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 20.7% | 19.3% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 14.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wataru Kondo | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Alec Bodenski | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Caroline King | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| David Perez | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Giles Ruck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 20.4% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Brian Hayes | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| John Holt | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Liviu Mosnoi | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| Owen Moore | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.