← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire1.02+6.23vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.39+4.10vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.88vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.57+1.69vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.74+0.03vs Predicted
-
6McGill University0.41+3.59vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.04+0.36vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.51+1.03vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University-0.40+3.11vs Predicted
-
10Yale University0.18+0.40vs Predicted
-
11Sacred Heart University0.35-1.27vs Predicted
-
12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.05vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.17-6.14vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University-0.22-2.45vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-4.83vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.23University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
-
6.1Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
3.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.2%1st Place
-
5.69University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
-
5.03University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
-
9.59McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
-
7.36Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
-
9.03Roger Williams University0.510.0%1st Place
-
12.11Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
10.4Yale University0.180.0%1st Place
-
9.73Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
-
9.95Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
6.86University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
-
11.55Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
10.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
11.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Caroline King | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 20.5% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Palardy | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Schneider | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Drezner | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Wataru Kondo | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Owen Moore | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 24.2% |
| Liviu Mosnoi | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Brian Hayes | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| John Holt | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Giles Ruck | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 18.5% |
| Alec Bodenski | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| David Perez | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.