Race 7A

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Ryan Palardy 12.1% 11.3% 13.9% 10.1% 11.8% 8.6% 7.0% 7.2% 4.8% 5.3% 3.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Kickhafer 22.6% 18.2% 13.4% 11.5% 11.0% 7.5% 6.0% 4.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Cannon 6.9% 6.2% 7.2% 8.5% 7.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.8% 8.0% 6.1% 5.8% 4.8% 1.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Peter Schneider 12.9% 13.4% 12.1% 10.5% 12.6% 9.3% 7.7% 7.2% 6.4% 3.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline King 9.0% 9.6% 9.7% 10.0% 11.0% 10.2% 8.3% 7.9% 7.6% 5.7% 4.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Megan Gimple 6.2% 7.7% 10.1% 9.5% 8.4% 8.1% 10.2% 8.1% 7.4% 6.6% 4.9% 5.0% 4.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Liviu Mosnoi 3.2% 3.8% 3.6% 4.2% 3.3% 4.0% 6.1% 5.3% 6.4% 7.8% 7.0% 9.7% 11.6% 12.7% 9.7% 1.6%
Matthew Galbraith 6.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.1% 7.7% 9.6% 8.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.1% 7.2% 6.0% 3.1% 1.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Giles Ruck 1.6% 3.0% 2.7% 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 8.1% 7.4% 8.8% 12.3% 13.9% 16.6% 4.3%
Brian Hayes 3.6% 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 4.6% 6.2% 6.7% 6.8% 9.1% 10.9% 11.2% 10.2% 6.9% 6.7% 1.0%
Wataru Kondo 5.2% 4.7% 3.4% 5.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 8.7% 7.2% 11.5% 8.5% 8.5% 6.5% 4.8% 0.9%
Alec Bodenski 3.1% 3.8% 3.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.9% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 6.9% 7.5% 7.9% 10.6% 11.6% 9.1% 1.0%
Owen Moore 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 4.3% 4.1% 4.5% 6.0% 6.4% 8.7% 11.8% 13.5% 21.9% 6.7%
David Perez 2.7% 1.3% 2.8% 3.2% 2.8% 4.9% 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 6.9% 9.1% 10.0% 10.5% 13.5% 13.4% 3.0%
Ryan Cloherty 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 0.7% 4.2% 7.4% 80.5%
Nathan Drezner 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 4.9% 4.6% 6.1% 6.0% 6.9% 8.8% 9.5% 9.4% 9.5% 8.1% 8.6% 6.1% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.