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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.60+4.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.16+6.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+5.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14-0.24vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.80+2.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.53-0.60vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.98-2.77vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.20+3.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.94-0.96vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.10-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.36-1.88vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+2.22vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.19-1.92vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.11-2.85vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-0.94vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.78-2.83vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.62-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Boston College1.6011.2%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University1.165.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University0.804.8%1st Place
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3.76Brown University2.1420.0%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University0.805.4%1st Place
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5.4Tufts University1.5311.8%1st Place
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4.23Brown University1.9817.8%1st Place
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11.14Harvard University-0.201.7%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University0.944.9%1st Place
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9.87Boston University0.103.3%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont0.363.9%1st Place
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14.22Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.310.5%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University-0.192.1%1st Place
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11.15McGill University-0.111.7%1st Place
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14.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.200.5%1st Place
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13.17Bentley University-0.780.9%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University0.624.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan McGauley | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Lamm | 20.0% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Devon Owen | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Gish | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Marco Welch | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 35.1% |
| Grant Smith | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| cole capizzo | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 30.8% |
| Andrew Blagden | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 16.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.