Race 1B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Michael Pinto 16.4% 15.5% 14.2% 13.8% 14.5% 9.0% 7.6% 6.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 14.6% 13.1% 13.2% 12.7% 11.9% 12.9% 8.4% 8.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 17.3% 14.6% 16.2% 12.6% 13.3% 11.4% 7.3% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 16.4% 16.1% 13.8% 15.5% 11.5% 11.3% 9.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.7% 6.8% 7.5% 7.9% 11.6% 13.3% 15.7% 13.1% 9.7% 5.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 16.6% 16.6% 15.1% 14.5% 12.9% 10.2% 7.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Pardi 1.9% 3.2% 2.8% 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 7.1% 11.3% 16.2% 16.1% 13.3% 9.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 10.4% 10.5% 12.4% 13.3% 12.9% 9.7% 4.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 1.3% 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 2.5% 5.4% 8.3% 12.8% 16.5% 15.1% 12.0% 7.9% 6.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Matthew Behr 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 2.0% 2.5% 5.6% 6.5% 11.7% 16.6% 17.2% 13.5% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Kyle Boucher 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 3.2% 4.5% 6.3% 9.8% 13.4% 14.1% 16.7% 13.9% 8.5% 2.7%
Clayton Greig 0.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 5.1% 7.9% 10.8% 12.5% 15.1% 17.6% 14.4% 7.0%
Wynn Simmons 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 2.0% 2.4% 4.0% 7.6% 10.7% 13.4% 16.5% 14.2% 12.6% 9.8% 3.1%
Jesus Esgueva 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 5.6% 7.2% 11.5% 14.7% 17.9% 17.0% 16.5%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 6.3% 8.2% 13.4% 23.1% 38.9%
Jillian Casey 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 3.1% 4.1% 7.2% 9.2% 15.7% 24.1% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.