Race 2B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christopher Pearson 14.5% 13.2% 14.3% 13.4% 12.2% 11.3% 9.3% 7.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 16.5% 16.6% 12.8% 14.3% 12.3% 10.7% 8.5% 5.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 7.1% 5.9% 9.1% 7.9% 10.6% 13.1% 16.2% 13.0% 9.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 15.4% 16.3% 13.3% 15.0% 13.5% 11.2% 7.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 16.5% 17.7% 14.9% 13.3% 11.9% 10.4% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.2% 5.7% 9.0% 11.2% 9.6% 11.7% 14.3% 12.5% 11.0% 5.9% 3.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Pardi 1.9% 2.9% 2.4% 3.6% 4.2% 5.5% 7.0% 10.9% 16.3% 15.8% 12.0% 9.5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Jacob Asher 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.3% 5.4% 5.3% 8.2% 13.5% 14.6% 15.2% 11.9% 10.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 17.6% 16.1% 15.9% 12.3% 13.8% 10.7% 6.7% 2.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Behr 1.4% 0.9% 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 3.6% 4.2% 7.1% 12.8% 16.0% 17.9% 13.1% 8.6% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Kyle Boucher 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 2.2% 5.2% 6.6% 8.7% 13.4% 14.3% 15.3% 14.2% 9.3% 3.0%
Jillian Casey 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 1.6% 2.0% 3.9% 4.5% 6.7% 10.0% 14.7% 22.6% 31.9%
Clayton Greig 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 2.1% 3.6% 6.3% 7.3% 10.8% 12.3% 17.2% 16.1% 12.9% 7.9%
Jesus Esgueva 0.0% 0.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 2.6% 2.9% 5.9% 5.6% 11.4% 15.9% 17.4% 19.8% 14.2%
Wynn Simmons 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 2.9% 3.6% 5.3% 9.6% 13.4% 16.5% 16.2% 13.1% 9.3% 4.2%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 4.4% 4.6% 7.2% 15.1% 23.0% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.