Race 3B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christopher Pearson 12.8% 14.0% 12.1% 14.2% 12.9% 13.1% 10.4% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 7.1% 6.8% 8.8% 8.6% 10.5% 12.7% 13.7% 13.4% 8.9% 5.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 17.0% 15.3% 15.1% 13.3% 14.0% 10.2% 7.4% 4.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 15.3% 14.3% 15.0% 14.0% 12.0% 12.4% 9.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 1.6% 2.3% 1.8% 3.2% 4.5% 5.4% 6.7% 13.7% 14.9% 15.5% 13.9% 9.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 15.9% 17.0% 16.4% 15.2% 11.5% 9.3% 7.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 7.5% 6.9% 7.2% 8.7% 11.7% 11.7% 13.9% 13.5% 9.9% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 17.6% 16.8% 15.1% 13.4% 12.5% 9.6% 8.0% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Pardi 1.6% 2.3% 3.7% 3.2% 3.2% 5.0% 8.7% 12.4% 16.8% 15.8% 11.7% 8.1% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Clayton Greig 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.8% 7.4% 10.3% 13.8% 16.6% 18.0% 12.6% 7.6%
Wynn Simmons 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 4.1% 7.9% 8.8% 12.4% 16.2% 16.0% 12.9% 9.5% 3.2%
Matthew Behr 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 2.6% 1.9% 3.8% 5.5% 8.3% 12.5% 16.4% 14.2% 12.9% 10.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.3%
Kyle Boucher 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 5.3% 6.8% 10.0% 14.9% 16.1% 14.6% 13.2% 7.5% 3.3%
Jillian Casey 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 2.7% 3.2% 4.8% 6.4% 9.9% 15.5% 24.3% 29.9%
Jesus Esgueva 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 2.6% 5.1% 7.0% 10.1% 13.6% 19.4% 20.7% 16.0%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 2.7% 4.9% 5.2% 8.5% 12.8% 22.0% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.