Race 4B

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kylie Castellano 16.6% 17.3% 14.8% 13.7% 13.6% 10.6% 6.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 16.7% 14.5% 15.7% 13.2% 11.5% 12.7% 7.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Pardi 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 3.7% 4.2% 3.6% 9.0% 11.8% 13.6% 19.8% 13.8% 6.3% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 6.9% 12.2% 15.9% 15.1% 13.0% 10.0% 4.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Christopher Pearson 12.1% 12.7% 12.4% 15.5% 12.4% 12.2% 10.3% 7.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.7% 6.2% 8.4% 9.2% 10.8% 12.9% 14.2% 13.8% 9.4% 5.4% 3.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 17.0% 15.2% 15.5% 12.6% 13.3% 10.4% 8.7% 4.7% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 18.6% 17.7% 15.6% 13.5% 11.9% 10.3% 5.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 6.3% 7.7% 7.6% 8.7% 11.5% 13.3% 15.7% 12.3% 8.1% 4.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Behr 0.9% 1.3% 2.9% 1.9% 2.3% 3.2% 5.2% 8.1% 10.7% 15.7% 19.4% 12.1% 9.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Kyle Boucher 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 3.3% 4.6% 8.2% 8.7% 11.2% 17.5% 14.7% 13.3% 8.9% 2.7%
Jillian Casey 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.3% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 6.7% 10.9% 15.3% 21.3% 32.3%
Clayton Greig 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 3.4% 6.4% 7.8% 9.5% 14.1% 15.9% 18.0% 11.6% 7.9%
Wynn Simmons 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 0.6% 1.7% 2.9% 4.8% 8.2% 9.0% 11.8% 15.9% 17.7% 12.0% 8.3% 3.8%
Jesus Esgueva 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 3.9% 4.8% 6.5% 9.4% 13.1% 18.9% 22.6% 15.0%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 3.0% 4.0% 5.7% 8.0% 13.2% 23.9% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.