Race 5B

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lucie Ford 6.4% 8.1% 7.4% 10.5% 10.5% 13.0% 12.4% 12.6% 9.9% 5.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 17.5% 17.0% 14.0% 14.7% 11.6% 9.5% 8.3% 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 13.6% 10.5% 15.9% 12.7% 11.9% 12.8% 11.3% 5.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 14.5% 15.2% 14.8% 14.7% 13.6% 10.2% 8.5% 5.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 6.0% 7.3% 8.2% 9.2% 11.0% 13.1% 13.4% 14.8% 9.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 18.0% 15.1% 14.5% 14.8% 12.9% 9.7% 7.5% 4.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 16.8% 17.6% 14.9% 12.1% 12.0% 11.4% 9.2% 2.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 4.9% 5.1% 8.6% 11.7% 14.8% 15.4% 13.2% 9.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Seth Pardi 1.4% 2.6% 4.1% 2.4% 3.8% 5.4% 6.9% 12.2% 17.8% 14.8% 12.4% 9.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Clayton Greig 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 6.1% 11.8% 13.4% 16.3% 19.0% 13.5% 6.8%
Wynn Simmons 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 5.1% 6.6% 8.5% 11.8% 14.4% 17.0% 14.7% 9.1% 3.7%
Jillian Casey 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 3.1% 2.6% 4.8% 5.7% 11.4% 13.1% 22.9% 32.4%
Matthew Behr 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.8% 4.4% 4.3% 8.8% 13.0% 17.2% 16.1% 12.6% 7.6% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Jesus Esgueva 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 2.6% 2.9% 6.3% 6.6% 11.9% 13.6% 19.4% 18.5% 14.3%
Kyle Boucher 0.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 4.4% 5.6% 11.1% 13.8% 16.5% 17.3% 11.3% 8.4% 3.7%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 3.0% 4.1% 4.8% 8.3% 13.6% 23.9% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.