Race 6B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lucie Ford 6.5% 8.2% 7.9% 10.1% 9.9% 13.1% 13.3% 11.9% 9.5% 6.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 13.6% 13.9% 13.0% 12.2% 13.6% 11.2% 9.7% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 15.7% 14.8% 16.0% 12.7% 12.0% 12.7% 7.9% 4.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 15.6% 16.7% 14.4% 15.1% 12.7% 10.5% 7.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 6.0% 7.2% 8.5% 8.6% 11.4% 12.9% 12.9% 15.3% 9.4% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 18.3% 15.4% 14.9% 15.3% 11.8% 8.6% 8.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 16.9% 15.8% 15.8% 12.5% 11.3% 12.3% 8.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 2.3% 1.8% 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% 4.8% 8.6% 11.2% 14.6% 17.0% 12.6% 9.5% 4.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Matthew Behr 0.9% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 2.6% 5.1% 7.6% 14.5% 16.1% 14.7% 14.2% 8.2% 4.2% 2.3% 0.7%
Jillian Casey 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 2.9% 5.9% 9.1% 14.9% 23.2% 33.8%
Kyle Boucher 1.2% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 4.9% 6.1% 9.2% 14.6% 15.1% 16.9% 13.2% 8.5% 2.1%
Wynn Simmons 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 3.5% 6.2% 9.2% 13.9% 15.6% 15.4% 14.9% 9.0% 3.6%
Seth Pardi 2.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.5% 4.6% 5.1% 7.4% 12.0% 16.5% 16.0% 13.0% 8.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Clayton Greig 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 3.8% 4.5% 6.5% 12.5% 13.6% 17.9% 15.5% 13.1% 6.5%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 4.0% 5.6% 7.9% 13.9% 23.9% 37.8%
Jesus Esgueva 0.0% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 5.2% 6.8% 11.0% 13.7% 19.9% 19.6% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.