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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+2.99vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.10+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13+2.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University-0.11+3.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.02-2.06vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-3.05vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-1.28+3.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.08-5.19vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.59+2.22vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-2.49+2.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-0.52vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.53-3.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-5.29vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-2.63-0.80vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.2%1st Place
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5.98Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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8.91Yale University-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.94University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.95Roger Williams University2.060.2%1st Place
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11.49Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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12.22University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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13.87Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.8McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
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14.2Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
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13.18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pinto | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Asher | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 16.6% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 17.1% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wynn Simmons | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 18.1% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 14.5% | 23.8% | 32.9% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Behr | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Seth Pardi | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 22.3% | 38.4% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.