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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Michael Pinto 16.4% 16.1% 14.1% 14.7% 12.5% 9.9% 8.0% 4.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 6.2% 7.9% 7.9% 9.8% 10.5% 11.5% 13.8% 13.0% 8.3% 7.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 13.1% 12.4% 13.1% 13.8% 13.5% 12.9% 10.7% 6.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 5.6% 6.7% 8.5% 10.5% 8.4% 12.4% 14.3% 13.7% 11.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 1.4% 2.4% 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 4.9% 7.3% 12.1% 15.4% 18.1% 14.3% 7.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 16.6% 15.5% 17.0% 12.4% 13.5% 9.1% 8.3% 4.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 17.1% 16.3% 14.8% 11.9% 12.6% 11.8% 8.2% 4.1% 2.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wynn Simmons 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 4.5% 6.9% 10.4% 12.3% 15.3% 16.1% 13.5% 9.2% 3.1%
Bryan Trammell 18.1% 17.1% 15.1% 13.7% 12.4% 9.3% 7.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clayton Greig 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 6.7% 8.3% 15.4% 18.9% 18.1% 12.8% 5.9%
Jillian Casey 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 6.9% 14.5% 23.8% 32.9%
Kyle Boucher 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 4.3% 5.4% 11.3% 13.2% 15.3% 16.7% 12.4% 7.7% 4.3%
Matthew Behr 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 4.6% 8.5% 14.8% 13.4% 14.9% 14.6% 8.6% 4.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Seth Pardi 2.4% 1.5% 2.4% 3.1% 4.9% 5.4% 8.8% 12.2% 16.5% 13.7% 14.3% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Nalu Tripician 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% 1.1% 1.2% 2.4% 3.6% 6.0% 8.2% 14.0% 22.3% 38.4%
Jesus Esgueva 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 2.3% 3.2% 4.4% 7.5% 9.9% 14.2% 19.0% 21.2% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.