Race 8B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christopher Pearson 12.6% 14.4% 13.1% 13.1% 13.2% 13.1% 10.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 6.9% 7.4% 8.5% 9.6% 9.8% 11.8% 13.1% 13.9% 10.5% 4.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 17.7% 14.4% 14.6% 12.9% 15.1% 10.6% 8.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 14.6% 16.3% 13.3% 13.5% 12.6% 12.2% 9.8% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 16.9% 16.9% 15.3% 13.8% 12.5% 10.3% 6.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 16.0% 16.2% 17.3% 14.5% 12.3% 9.0% 7.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Pardi 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 3.7% 5.6% 7.7% 10.6% 13.6% 16.8% 14.0% 9.1% 5.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Kyle Boucher 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 3.6% 4.6% 7.6% 10.5% 13.0% 14.2% 15.8% 13.8% 8.1% 2.5%
Elliott Gear 7.8% 6.3% 8.0% 8.6% 10.6% 12.9% 13.5% 14.6% 8.9% 4.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.2% 3.7% 7.6% 11.2% 18.2% 16.5% 13.1% 9.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Matthew Behr 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 4.0% 5.5% 8.6% 11.3% 15.6% 15.9% 13.1% 8.4% 5.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Nalu Tripician 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.6% 3.2% 4.6% 6.1% 9.1% 12.5% 20.4% 39.4%
Wynn Simmons 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 1.7% 2.8% 4.7% 8.1% 9.4% 11.5% 16.5% 15.6% 12.9% 10.2% 2.9%
Jesus Esgueva 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 6.6% 6.1% 10.0% 15.0% 19.4% 19.8% 14.2%
Jillian Casey 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 4.0% 6.5% 8.8% 14.9% 25.1% 32.7%
Clayton Greig 0.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.5% 1.2% 4.3% 4.7% 6.6% 10.7% 14.0% 16.6% 17.5% 12.9% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.