Race 9B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kylie Castellano 17.3% 16.1% 15.7% 15.2% 11.8% 9.1% 7.3% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 17.8% 16.4% 14.3% 14.8% 12.9% 9.0% 8.2% 3.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 16.2% 14.6% 15.1% 13.4% 13.1% 12.5% 7.7% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 16.1% 16.8% 14.8% 15.4% 11.3% 11.2% 7.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 5.8% 7.1% 8.5% 8.9% 12.5% 12.8% 14.2% 12.1% 9.1% 5.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 12.0% 12.7% 15.1% 11.0% 14.4% 11.7% 9.9% 8.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.8% 9.1% 11.7% 15.3% 13.8% 9.6% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 2.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.8% 4.2% 5.7% 8.6% 12.2% 15.4% 15.1% 13.8% 8.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Jesus Esgueva 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 4.4% 6.2% 12.2% 14.0% 19.6% 19.6% 14.1%
Seth Pardi 2.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 3.2% 5.2% 5.7% 12.3% 17.8% 17.1% 11.9% 8.0% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Matthew Behr 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 5.8% 7.1% 12.0% 15.6% 16.1% 12.4% 10.3% 4.7% 2.2% 0.5%
Clayton Greig 0.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% 4.0% 4.7% 7.6% 10.4% 13.0% 14.7% 16.8% 15.4% 7.2%
Wynn Simmons 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 4.5% 6.8% 11.3% 13.1% 15.2% 15.2% 14.1% 8.8% 3.2%
Kyle Boucher 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 4.8% 7.2% 8.9% 14.1% 16.3% 16.4% 13.0% 7.1% 3.0%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 6.4% 9.3% 12.0% 22.8% 39.5%
Jillian Casey 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 2.0% 3.2% 4.9% 6.1% 9.7% 15.4% 23.3% 32.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.