Race 10B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Michael Pinto 17.2% 14.8% 16.1% 12.8% 13.9% 10.7% 6.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 17.8% 16.4% 13.3% 14.9% 11.9% 10.6% 7.6% 4.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 7.2% 5.3% 9.5% 9.1% 10.7% 11.2% 15.9% 14.5% 9.3% 3.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 16.2% 17.0% 13.1% 15.8% 12.3% 11.4% 7.0% 4.4% 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 12.6% 13.9% 12.5% 13.5% 14.3% 11.1% 10.7% 6.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.4% 6.3% 8.6% 10.3% 9.9% 12.1% 14.2% 13.7% 9.6% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 16.5% 17.1% 16.7% 11.1% 12.8% 10.3% 8.1% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 3.7% 5.6% 8.9% 12.0% 14.8% 16.1% 12.6% 9.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Seth Pardi 1.7% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.7% 5.7% 8.1% 12.7% 16.0% 15.6% 13.7% 7.5% 4.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Kyle Boucher 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.8% 1.2% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 5.6% 10.5% 13.9% 16.5% 16.0% 13.2% 8.5% 2.7%
Clayton Greig 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 3.7% 5.2% 6.4% 9.7% 13.5% 17.2% 16.6% 14.0% 6.8%
Matthew Behr 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 3.2% 3.7% 4.3% 7.5% 14.6% 15.2% 14.8% 13.4% 9.4% 4.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Nalu Tripician 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.8% 0.2% 1.0% 1.7% 3.2% 4.9% 6.7% 8.3% 13.3% 21.8% 37.3%
Wynn Simmons 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.4% 1.5% 1.7% 3.1% 3.8% 6.7% 11.6% 13.2% 14.8% 16.5% 12.5% 8.1% 3.8%
Jesus Esgueva 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 2.0% 2.5% 4.9% 7.0% 9.0% 15.1% 18.8% 21.1% 15.4%
Jillian Casey 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 3.3% 4.0% 6.8% 8.3% 16.5% 23.1% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.