Race 11B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
George Higham 18.2% 16.9% 14.9% 13.7% 14.1% 9.1% 5.7% 4.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 17.2% 16.0% 15.4% 14.0% 12.3% 10.0% 7.2% 5.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 16.2% 15.0% 13.6% 14.5% 12.6% 12.6% 8.4% 4.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.2% 6.3% 8.5% 9.6% 9.8% 10.8% 16.3% 14.1% 11.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 6.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.4% 11.6% 12.1% 16.5% 12.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 12.5% 13.4% 14.0% 12.7% 11.9% 12.1% 11.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 17.8% 16.0% 14.5% 14.0% 12.3% 11.3% 6.7% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Behr 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 8.8% 12.3% 14.5% 16.3% 13.5% 9.1% 5.3% 1.6% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 1.6% 2.5% 3.5% 2.8% 4.0% 5.2% 7.4% 13.1% 15.6% 15.0% 12.7% 8.4% 5.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Wynn Simmons 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 4.4% 5.0% 9.8% 13.0% 15.9% 17.2% 13.4% 9.7% 3.1%
Seth Pardi 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 4.7% 3.4% 5.7% 7.1% 10.6% 15.2% 17.3% 13.2% 8.4% 4.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Clayton Greig 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 2.1% 4.3% 4.5% 7.4% 10.7% 13.3% 16.2% 16.2% 12.7% 8.5%
Kyle Boucher 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 2.7% 4.3% 7.4% 11.7% 13.9% 15.6% 15.0% 12.7% 8.0% 3.3%
Jillian Casey 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 5.0% 6.5% 12.2% 13.0% 24.5% 29.8%
Jesus Esgueva 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 2.9% 4.9% 6.3% 11.2% 12.0% 21.0% 20.3% 16.0%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 4.3% 5.5% 8.5% 13.1% 22.1% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.