Race 12B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Bryan Trammell 17.3% 17.8% 15.1% 14.0% 12.9% 9.0% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliott Gear 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 9.3% 10.9% 12.4% 13.8% 12.5% 10.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 17.3% 15.2% 15.7% 14.1% 12.0% 12.3% 6.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 16.3% 15.6% 13.2% 14.1% 14.9% 9.8% 7.9% 5.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 12.0% 13.7% 12.7% 13.7% 11.8% 13.3% 10.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 9.0% 11.1% 13.0% 13.8% 12.5% 10.7% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 4.1% 7.8% 11.4% 14.6% 14.6% 15.1% 9.0% 5.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Michael Pinto 17.3% 14.1% 15.5% 14.2% 12.2% 10.4% 7.7% 4.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seth Pardi 1.6% 3.0% 3.6% 2.2% 3.4% 5.0% 9.6% 12.7% 14.2% 16.8% 11.7% 8.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Kyle Boucher 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 4.1% 6.0% 9.2% 13.4% 16.5% 16.9% 13.1% 7.1% 3.2%
Matthew Behr 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 2.1% 3.3% 4.6% 8.8% 12.9% 15.3% 15.3% 14.2% 7.5% 5.5% 2.6% 0.1%
Jillian Casey 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 2.5% 3.2% 4.5% 6.2% 10.7% 14.6% 21.2% 33.1%
Wynn Simmons 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 4.5% 7.5% 10.3% 12.9% 15.2% 14.7% 13.7% 9.2% 3.7%
Jesus Esgueva 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 3.3% 4.8% 8.8% 9.5% 14.0% 18.6% 20.7% 14.0%
Clayton Greig 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 3.3% 4.8% 7.4% 9.4% 13.7% 17.0% 17.6% 14.4% 7.0%
Nalu Tripician 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 1.5% 3.5% 3.5% 5.5% 8.6% 12.8% 23.1% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.