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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+6.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+6.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+6.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.38vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+0.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+4.83vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.80+1.72vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.18-0.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46+1.15vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-4.57vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-0.24vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-4.17vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.12-5.23vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.97-5.82vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-8.26vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.82-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.58Brown University3.180.0%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.76Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.43Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Mack Fox | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Walter Henry | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 16.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Christian Filter | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.