Race 2A

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Robert Bragg 9.5% 9.0% 8.1% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 6.9% 7.7% 6.5% 6.0% 5.8% 4.9% 4.4% 3.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Emily Haig 7.0% 6.9% 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 5.7% 6.6% 6.2% 8.5% 6.4% 7.5% 5.9% 4.6% 5.8% 4.4% 2.5% 1.4%
Mack Fox 6.4% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 5.9% 6.9% 6.5% 5.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.0% 5.7% 6.9% 5.6% 5.5% 2.7% 2.2%
Sophia Reineke 6.7% 6.3% 6.2% 5.0% 6.2% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 7.0% 6.3% 5.4% 4.9% 5.0% 2.1%
Shawn Harvey 14.1% 12.9% 11.2% 12.8% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 5.9% 4.8% 3.4% 3.9% 2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Ragna Agerup 9.5% 8.5% 9.5% 11.3% 8.9% 8.1% 8.4% 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 4.9% 4.4% 3.2% 2.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Maia Agerup 6.7% 8.0% 6.3% 6.1% 7.2% 8.6% 6.9% 7.4% 8.5% 6.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.9% 4.3% 3.7% 3.4% 0.7%
Luke Ingalls 5.8% 3.9% 5.9% 6.2% 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 4.7% 5.3% 6.7% 5.4% 6.8% 7.0% 7.6% 5.6% 6.8% 4.5%
Spencer Cartwright 5.0% 5.1% 4.7% 4.9% 7.5% 5.9% 7.7% 7.3% 6.1% 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 6.6% 5.8% 7.4% 3.6% 3.2%
Charlie Hibben 2.9% 3.1% 3.4% 3.3% 5.5% 5.7% 5.2% 4.9% 5.7% 7.6% 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 8.3% 8.1% 10.0% 7.7%
Thomas Harden 4.5% 4.6% 4.0% 4.3% 4.1% 4.4% 6.0% 6.0% 5.7% 5.8% 5.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.2% 9.9% 7.8% 6.6%
Eli Burnes 5.9% 6.1% 6.5% 6.0% 5.8% 6.4% 5.6% 8.1% 6.3% 6.0% 6.0% 5.8% 7.1% 5.9% 5.6% 4.4% 2.5%
Kyle Riggs 2.9% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 4.4% 4.0% 6.1% 5.2% 5.3% 8.1% 9.0% 7.9% 15.1% 16.0%
Christian Filter 4.0% 5.9% 5.2% 4.8% 5.8% 5.0% 7.1% 4.9% 6.6% 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 6.0% 3.9%
Grace Vincens 1.2% 2.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 1.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 5.0% 5.9% 5.8% 7.9% 15.2% 34.0%
Walter Henry 2.6% 1.8% 3.7% 3.0% 3.4% 4.7% 3.3% 5.4% 4.7% 5.2% 7.0% 7.3% 6.3% 8.1% 10.6% 10.8% 12.1%
Hannah Steadman 5.3% 6.8% 6.9% 6.0% 6.6% 6.9% 6.3% 6.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 5.5% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.