Race 3A

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Ragna Agerup 12.6% 12.3% 7.6% 8.6% 8.5% 7.4% 7.6% 7.3% 6.7% 5.2% 5.3% 3.7% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Eli Burnes 5.8% 5.5% 6.1% 6.9% 6.3% 6.3% 5.8% 6.9% 6.4% 7.5% 6.4% 6.1% 7.2% 5.2% 5.7% 3.8% 2.1%
Christian Filter 5.5% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 6.8% 7.2% 4.7% 5.2% 6.4% 5.8% 6.2% 6.9% 5.8% 7.5% 7.6% 5.3% 4.3%
Sophia Reineke 6.3% 5.6% 7.1% 5.7% 5.8% 6.2% 5.4% 7.2% 6.0% 6.2% 7.6% 5.6% 7.7% 5.3% 5.1% 4.4% 2.8%
Walter Henry 2.5% 3.5% 4.6% 3.7% 4.1% 3.3% 3.6% 4.8% 6.0% 4.1% 6.2% 6.1% 7.8% 7.8% 9.4% 11.0% 11.5%
Charlie Hibben 3.3% 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 4.6% 4.1% 5.7% 3.5% 6.4% 3.9% 5.7% 8.2% 7.7% 8.3% 9.3% 10.9% 9.0%
Robert Bragg 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 7.5% 8.8% 7.7% 8.4% 6.3% 7.9% 6.2% 7.1% 5.0% 3.9% 2.7% 2.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Shawn Harvey 14.0% 14.0% 11.3% 9.6% 8.3% 6.9% 8.0% 5.7% 5.3% 5.5% 2.8% 2.5% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah Steadman 4.8% 5.7% 5.8% 6.9% 6.1% 8.0% 6.0% 7.2% 7.9% 6.5% 4.7% 6.0% 7.0% 4.6% 5.9% 5.0% 1.9%
Spencer Cartwright 5.2% 4.6% 7.1% 6.8% 5.5% 7.5% 7.2% 7.5% 5.5% 6.4% 5.0% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 4.0% 5.0% 2.6%
Emily Haig 7.6% 6.7% 5.3% 7.4% 5.9% 6.1% 7.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.3% 7.5% 6.4% 5.6% 6.2% 5.9% 2.4% 1.7%
Thomas Harden 3.7% 4.4% 4.4% 6.7% 4.6% 5.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.2% 5.6% 7.4% 7.3% 6.4% 7.0% 9.5% 7.5% 5.5%
Maia Agerup 6.7% 7.6% 6.8% 6.6% 6.7% 7.8% 8.4% 7.1% 6.2% 6.5% 7.2% 5.8% 4.4% 3.5% 3.5% 4.1% 1.1%
Luke Ingalls 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 4.7% 5.9% 5.3% 5.2% 6.2% 5.6% 6.3% 5.3% 7.4% 7.6% 8.8% 6.5% 6.0% 4.3%
Mack Fox 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 6.1% 5.5% 7.4% 5.3% 7.5% 7.8% 6.2% 5.0% 6.1% 3.9% 4.4% 1.7%
Grace Vincens 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 2.6% 1.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.3% 4.5% 3.5% 4.8% 6.0% 7.0% 8.5% 14.3% 33.7%
Kyle Riggs 2.0% 1.9% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.8% 3.9% 4.8% 6.0% 4.3% 5.1% 5.7% 9.1% 10.2% 12.8% 17.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.