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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.80+7.85vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+4.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+4.12vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+3.48vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.79vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+4.33vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15+0.29vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.18-0.44vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.82+3.42vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-5.34vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-0.29vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-2.21vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-6.68vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.97-5.79vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.73vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.79Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.29Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.56Brown University3.180.0%1st Place
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13.42Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.66Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.71Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Emily Haig | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 10.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 33.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 16.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.