Race 5A

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Ragna Agerup 12.8% 11.6% 7.8% 10.0% 7.2% 8.8% 7.5% 6.6% 6.3% 5.7% 4.8% 3.9% 3.3% 1.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Sophia Reineke 6.1% 6.2% 6.6% 6.4% 6.3% 5.3% 6.9% 6.0% 6.9% 6.7% 6.0% 8.0% 6.3% 5.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.1%
Emily Haig 7.0% 6.4% 7.0% 8.2% 6.7% 5.8% 6.7% 5.6% 6.0% 8.0% 5.8% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 4.5% 3.0% 1.8%
Shawn Harvey 13.0% 12.6% 10.4% 10.3% 7.8% 9.8% 7.2% 6.9% 5.2% 5.0% 4.1% 2.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Thomas Harden 3.8% 4.9% 6.4% 4.5% 4.6% 5.1% 5.4% 6.2% 5.6% 5.5% 7.7% 6.5% 7.0% 5.7% 7.9% 7.9% 5.3%
Robert Bragg 7.4% 7.9% 7.7% 6.5% 9.7% 7.4% 7.9% 7.2% 6.9% 5.0% 5.8% 5.6% 4.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.8% 1.1%
Maia Agerup 6.9% 7.4% 6.6% 6.3% 7.2% 8.0% 7.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.9% 7.1% 4.9% 4.8% 4.0% 3.5% 2.8% 0.8%
Spencer Cartwright 6.9% 5.2% 7.1% 7.2% 5.5% 5.7% 6.2% 6.2% 5.4% 6.9% 6.4% 5.6% 6.9% 6.2% 4.7% 4.9% 3.0%
Hannah Steadman 5.4% 4.4% 6.4% 6.8% 6.9% 6.4% 6.9% 8.2% 6.1% 5.7% 6.7% 6.4% 5.1% 7.1% 5.5% 4.2% 1.8%
Grace Vincens 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 6.0% 4.6% 8.4% 9.8% 14.3% 31.9%
Mack Fox 6.3% 7.2% 5.8% 6.2% 5.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.1% 6.2% 6.4% 4.9% 6.9% 8.0% 4.9% 7.3% 3.0% 2.2%
Christian Filter 4.9% 4.6% 7.0% 5.7% 5.9% 5.5% 4.7% 5.5% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 5.5% 6.9% 7.5% 6.3% 6.3% 3.9%
Luke Ingalls 4.8% 5.3% 4.6% 3.2% 4.5% 6.7% 5.9% 7.2% 6.4% 6.5% 6.1% 6.9% 8.1% 6.8% 6.2% 5.0% 5.8%
Eli Burnes 5.5% 6.3% 5.1% 6.1% 6.6% 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 6.7% 5.4% 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 5.5% 7.1% 4.2% 2.5%
Walter Henry 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 3.8% 5.2% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 7.2% 8.7% 9.4% 13.7% 11.5%
Charlie Hibben 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 4.1% 5.1% 4.0% 5.5% 4.9% 5.1% 6.1% 7.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.9% 8.5% 9.6% 9.2%
Kyle Riggs 1.6% 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 3.5% 4.0% 2.9% 3.9% 6.1% 4.6% 4.3% 5.6% 5.4% 8.7% 9.4% 14.2% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.