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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.36vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+3.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+3.76vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80+4.74vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+2.92vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+0.18vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15+0.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.18-0.44vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-0.95vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-0.25vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.46-0.80vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.12-4.24vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-2.05vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-5.62vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-7.87vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.82-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.56Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.75Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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13.4Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 15.1% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Christian Filter | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 11.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 16.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Emily Haig | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.