Race 9A

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Ragna Agerup 12.7% 10.7% 9.4% 9.7% 7.6% 8.1% 7.8% 7.7% 6.7% 4.7% 3.9% 3.7% 3.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Maia Agerup 7.3% 8.0% 9.1% 6.8% 5.8% 8.1% 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 6.4% 7.5% 5.8% 5.4% 4.1% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1%
Shawn Harvey 14.6% 11.6% 12.4% 8.9% 9.2% 8.7% 6.3% 7.0% 6.0% 4.6% 4.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Christian Filter 5.0% 5.7% 5.5% 6.0% 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 5.5% 6.6% 6.5% 6.7% 7.9% 7.2% 5.8% 6.1% 6.3% 3.6%
Walter Henry 2.3% 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.7% 4.5% 5.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.5% 7.5% 9.3% 9.4% 9.1% 11.6%
Eli Burnes 5.6% 5.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.0% 7.2% 6.7% 6.1% 6.7% 7.3% 6.3% 6.4% 4.7% 8.0% 4.7% 4.5% 2.8%
Grace Vincens 2.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 3.0% 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 4.7% 5.3% 7.0% 9.5% 14.7% 32.6%
Luke Ingalls 6.1% 5.3% 6.0% 6.3% 5.2% 6.1% 4.6% 4.4% 5.6% 7.1% 7.5% 6.1% 7.0% 6.4% 6.4% 5.9% 4.0%
Spencer Cartwright 4.5% 6.0% 4.8% 4.9% 7.5% 6.9% 6.8% 5.6% 8.0% 6.0% 7.6% 6.4% 6.5% 5.5% 6.3% 3.5% 3.2%
Thomas Harden 3.9% 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 6.2% 4.1% 6.2% 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 5.6% 6.6% 6.4% 7.9% 8.0% 7.2% 4.1%
Stephen Duncan 4.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 6.3% 5.4% 4.7% 6.3% 6.9% 6.1% 7.2% 7.2% 7.3% 10.0% 6.0%
Hannah Steadman 6.2% 7.0% 6.1% 5.5% 8.1% 6.9% 6.4% 5.5% 6.7% 7.2% 5.5% 8.5% 5.0% 4.9% 5.0% 3.5% 2.0%
Robert Bragg 8.9% 7.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.6% 7.9% 8.3% 6.9% 6.6% 6.9% 4.8% 5.5% 4.8% 2.6% 3.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Charlie Hibben 2.8% 3.8% 3.9% 3.1% 4.4% 5.3% 4.3% 5.5% 4.2% 4.5% 7.4% 6.7% 8.4% 7.8% 9.5% 10.1% 8.3%
Kyle Riggs 2.4% 3.3% 2.4% 3.8% 3.9% 2.6% 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 3.2% 5.3% 5.3% 7.5% 7.1% 10.6% 12.9% 16.4%
Sophia Reineke 5.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 7.1% 6.5% 6.9% 7.4% 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 5.4% 6.0% 6.6% 4.1% 4.3% 1.5%
Mack Fox 5.3% 7.3% 7.6% 6.7% 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.3% 5.7% 7.3% 5.2% 6.7% 6.2% 5.7% 4.5% 3.5% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.