Race 10A

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Shawn Harvey 14.2% 14.7% 10.1% 10.0% 8.8% 8.9% 7.2% 6.6% 4.5% 5.2% 3.4% 2.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Robert Bragg 8.7% 8.4% 8.4% 8.3% 8.2% 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% 7.2% 7.1% 5.0% 5.3% 4.6% 3.6% 1.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Eli Burnes 5.7% 5.4% 7.0% 7.3% 6.9% 5.5% 6.0% 8.0% 4.9% 5.9% 6.7% 6.4% 5.0% 7.1% 6.4% 3.3% 2.5%
Spencer Cartwright 6.3% 5.8% 5.9% 7.0% 5.2% 4.9% 7.6% 5.7% 6.7% 5.8% 6.5% 8.0% 6.6% 6.3% 5.2% 4.2% 2.3%
Hannah Steadman 6.9% 6.8% 6.8% 6.0% 7.7% 6.7% 6.6% 8.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 5.9% 5.0% 4.0% 5.4% 3.6% 2.4%
Kyle Riggs 2.7% 2.1% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 4.1% 4.7% 5.1% 4.2% 5.7% 5.1% 7.3% 7.8% 9.5% 15.0% 15.4%
Luke Ingalls 5.3% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 7.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.2% 8.3% 7.4% 6.0% 5.7% 3.0%
Sophia Reineke 7.3% 7.1% 7.9% 5.8% 5.5% 7.5% 5.8% 5.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.1% 6.2% 5.0% 6.8% 5.0% 4.2% 1.3%
Christian Filter 3.9% 5.2% 4.5% 4.8% 6.5% 7.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.0% 6.4% 6.5% 7.0% 6.3% 3.4%
Charlie Hibben 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 3.5% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.4% 5.4% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8% 6.7% 8.0% 9.3% 8.9% 7.1%
Ragna Agerup 12.0% 8.6% 10.0% 8.3% 8.9% 9.0% 6.2% 5.6% 7.1% 6.8% 5.0% 3.3% 3.7% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Maia Agerup 7.0% 7.5% 7.7% 9.4% 8.0% 4.9% 6.8% 7.2% 6.8% 6.1% 4.9% 7.1% 5.1% 3.5% 3.8% 3.1% 1.1%
Thomas Harden 4.1% 5.1% 4.1% 3.4% 4.7% 5.2% 4.2% 6.4% 7.4% 5.4% 6.5% 6.7% 8.4% 8.2% 5.7% 8.1% 6.4%
Grace Vincens 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 3.6% 5.6% 6.7% 10.0% 13.6% 34.2%
Stephen Duncan 3.8% 4.9% 4.6% 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 6.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.9% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 7.1% 6.1%
Walter Henry 2.3% 2.3% 3.2% 3.7% 3.8% 4.1% 5.3% 3.9% 4.6% 5.1% 8.0% 6.5% 6.8% 7.7% 9.8% 11.1% 11.8%
Mack Fox 5.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.3% 6.2% 8.2% 6.9% 4.3% 6.0% 7.1% 5.8% 7.5% 6.1% 4.9% 4.8% 3.4% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.