Race 12A

sherman-hoyt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Hannah Steadman 7.8% 5.9% 7.0% 6.7% 6.7% 6.0% 7.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 5.8% 6.0% 5.5% 4.2% 3.4% 1.7%
Ragna Agerup 11.1% 10.8% 10.4% 8.6% 8.4% 8.4% 8.3% 6.5% 7.2% 5.1% 4.3% 3.4% 3.5% 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Robert Bragg 8.2% 8.7% 8.5% 8.0% 8.7% 6.7% 6.4% 6.6% 7.4% 6.5% 7.0% 4.3% 4.1% 4.2% 2.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Christian Filter 5.6% 6.1% 5.1% 5.1% 4.6% 5.7% 5.2% 7.2% 5.5% 6.5% 6.0% 7.9% 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 6.1% 2.9%
Sophia Reineke 6.3% 7.0% 7.0% 5.3% 6.1% 8.4% 6.1% 6.8% 6.0% 8.4% 5.2% 6.0% 5.2% 3.9% 5.9% 4.5% 1.9%
Thomas Harden 4.1% 3.6% 4.2% 4.0% 4.9% 6.1% 6.1% 5.9% 6.3% 4.9% 6.7% 7.1% 5.9% 9.2% 7.1% 8.5% 5.4%
Charlie Hibben 3.8% 3.5% 4.4% 3.9% 4.3% 3.1% 3.8% 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 5.8% 9.2% 8.1% 9.0% 9.4% 7.4%
Walter Henry 3.7% 2.6% 4.3% 4.7% 4.1% 4.1% 4.7% 4.4% 4.1% 4.6% 4.8% 7.3% 7.1% 7.4% 9.4% 10.4% 12.3%
Luke Ingalls 3.8% 4.9% 5.1% 4.0% 6.5% 6.3% 5.6% 5.5% 7.3% 6.9% 6.1% 7.0% 5.9% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 3.5%
Kyle Riggs 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 2.4% 2.7% 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 4.1% 5.5% 6.1% 8.3% 6.5% 7.9% 9.1% 12.5% 13.9%
Grace Vincens 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 9.9% 12.5% 35.2%
Maia Agerup 7.4% 7.7% 7.8% 7.7% 7.9% 6.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.2% 5.3% 6.1% 4.9% 4.5% 4.9% 3.3% 3.2% 1.9%
Eli Burnes 5.6% 5.9% 5.2% 5.7% 6.0% 6.4% 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 6.5% 5.1% 6.8% 7.1% 5.8% 4.8% 3.9% 3.1%
Mack Fox 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 8.7% 5.6% 6.5% 6.6% 6.2% 6.7% 5.4% 7.2% 6.6% 6.8% 5.0% 5.2% 4.4% 1.0%
Stephen Duncan 4.5% 4.1% 4.5% 6.0% 5.2% 4.3% 5.5% 4.7% 5.2% 5.9% 7.3% 6.1% 6.8% 8.8% 8.0% 6.5% 6.6%
Spencer Cartwright 4.7% 4.3% 6.2% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.3% 6.8% 6.3% 7.1% 6.1% 5.8% 6.2% 5.5% 5.9% 5.0% 2.0%
Shawn Harvey 13.6% 13.5% 10.4% 10.6% 9.3% 7.4% 7.4% 6.2% 4.8% 4.5% 4.2% 2.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.