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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+4.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+7.33vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+6.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+1.11vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+2.83vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+1.85vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.62+0.80vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+2.18vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.74+2.29vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.60-1.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-6.03vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.50-3.47vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.83-5.70vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.20-4.42vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.81-7.74vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.11Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.29Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.27Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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8.26Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.53Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 17.8% |
| John Mastrandrea | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Anthony Root | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.