← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+5.07vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.69+6.61vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.81+5.18vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.60+5.14vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.45+4.47vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.42+0.09vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.49-1.35vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.23vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.83-0.63vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.11+0.83vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-3.78vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.50-2.57vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.20-2.20vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.65-4.99vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.62-6.08vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.74-3.56vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University1.38-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.07Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.61Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
8.18Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.14Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
9.47Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
6.09Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
5.65Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.37Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
10.83University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
9.43Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.8University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
-
9.01Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.92Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
-
12.44Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
13.54Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| John Mastrandrea | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Crew Fritsch | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| Anthony Root | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.