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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+4.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+7.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+4.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+4.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.11vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69+0.52vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.60+0.30vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.62-1.17vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-2.66vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.74+0.26vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.50-3.39vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.45-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-4.03vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-2.44vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.65-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.0%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.3Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.61Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Crew Fritsch | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 19.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% |
| Anthony Root | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 32.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.